Fantasy Football Buy Or Sell: Aaron Rodgers

After two shaky starts, is it time to bail on the Green Bay stud?

James LeBeauby James LeBeau

Anyone who participated in an NFL fantasy football draft this year knows exactly where Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers stood in the draft order. With the exception of some leagues that are customized to give receivers or running backs the edge, quarterbacks, especially elite ones, were the targets early and often. And even among the elite, Rogers went number one for the majority based on his youth, skill, and potential for yet even further growth.

After two weeks, the people who drafted him are most likely not happy right now.

Any owner who drafted Rodgers was expecting the machine to at least match his last season numbers in which he tossed for over 4,500 yards and threw four 45 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions. Oh, and he ran in three other scores as well. Well, so far through two games, Rodgers has delivered an anemic 522 yards with 3 TDs to 2 INTs. Projected through a full season at this pace, he is expected to pass for around 4,100 yards, 24 TDs and 16 INTs.

As acceptable as those numbers may seem for someone who drafted a quarterback in the third round, those aren't the eye popping returns that many a owner hinged his teams championship aspirations on this summer. No, after two harsh starts, those owners must weigh one of the toughest decisions this game has to offer:

Do I ride this bad stretch out and hope it gets better, or do I try to trade him on name value for another big name or two before this gets worse?

This isn't a decision to be made lightly when you are talking about a player who could so adversely affect your win count on any given week, but on the flip side, another two bad outings and you aren't going to get squat for the guy in a trade, either. So, what do you do?

The correct answer to this question, in my opinion, is to ride it out.

A quarterback with the skill set and production that Rodgers showed a season ago doesn't come around too often and in a league that is as pass happy as the NFL is right now, you need a good quarterback to get the fantays football wins. Since Rodgers isn't battling any injury and was without top target Greg Jennings against the Bears, I would be hard pressed to say that this is going to be the norm, production wise. I mean, look at his first two opponents, the 49ers and the Bears. Both are teams expected to challenge in the NFC and neither are slouches.

Ride with your guy if you drafted Rodgers. The points will start flowing, especially with Seattle and New Orleans on the horizon in weeks 3 and 4. On the flip side, if you are an owner looking to pounce on a Rodgers owner who is overreacting to these early stats and is looking to deal, do it. Like I said, elite QBs are hard to come by, grab him if you can get him.

You can't overvalue a top 3 quarterback in today's league.

Final Verdict: Buy

James LeBeau is a sports contributor for CraveOnline Sports and you can follow him on Twitter @JleBeau76 or subscribe on

Photo Credit: Icon

Photographer: Zumapress/Icon SMI