Richmond ($1.62) v Essendon ($2.35)
Yes, Essendon are down in the dumps, Yes, they were smashed by… Carlton 156-60 last Saturday, but this team, although unlikely they finish in the eight, remain capable of big things. I’d be more willing to say they could win had Patty Ryder not gone down with yet another injury, but they’re still a good chance. Then again, names like Scott Gumbleton and Mark Baguley beg to differ.
Tigers IN: Astbury,Batchelor, Dea OUT: King, Griffiths,Ellis
Bombers IN: Lovett-Murray, Gumbleton, Pears, O’Brien, Baguley OUT: Lonergan, Ryder, Lee, Carlisle, Fletcher
St Kilda($1.00) v GWS ($31.00)
Some HUGE outs for the Saints: Fisher, Armitage, Gram, Schneider (to an extent Koschitzke, but he’s been the league’s worst player for about a month now) are all big parts of what they do. Is it enough for GWS to get over the top? Probably not, but a betting man may say otherwise.
Saints IN: Milera, Newnes, Siposs, Ross, Ledger OUT: Koschitzke, Gram, Schneider, Fisher, Armitage
Giants IN: Palmer, Ward, Treloar, Bugg, Tomlinson, Wilson, Cooyou OUT: Clifton, Scully, Miles, Buntine, Golds, Edwards, Folau
Port Adelaide ($2.30) v Brisbane ($1.65)
The only people watching this game will be those folks in their respective cities. Kudos to the Lions, their 10-point win over Adelaide after a shocking first quarter was impressive.
Port IN: Logan, Boak OUT: D Stewart, Moore
Lions IN: Drummond, Hawksley OUT: Maguire, Yeo
Sydney ($2.03)v Hawthorn ($1.02)
One plays two in a possible Grand Final preview. The Swans are a game clear and both sides are coming off big wins- their average victory margin in round 21 was 73 points. Hawthorn’s big ins means the squad is almost at 100 percent, but both sides are that close it’s a tough one to call.
Hawks IN: Mitchell, Franklin, Gibson OUT: Bateman, Gilham, Savage
Gold Coast ($17.00) v Carlton ($1.01)
If Carlton wins and Fremantle goes down as expected they’re in the 8. This is the same club that was dead in the water a month ago. Gold Coast’s season is almost a wrap, but it’s possible they’ll go out with a bang.
Suns IN: Dixon, McKenzie, Gillbee OUT: Brennan, McQualter, Toy
Blues IN: Ellard OUT: Robinson
West Coast ($1.75) v Collingwood ($2.10)
Collingwood’s effort against North last weekend was not what we’ve come to expect. I’m also not sure their big ins outweigh some of the tough losses that will sit this week out. West Coast on the other hand dominated Port a week after that cheeky win against the Cats. The game being played in Perth probably swings it in the Eagles’ favour.
Eagles IN: Butler, Kennedy, Rosa OUT: Hams, Dalziell, Brennan
Pies IN: Johnson, Swan, Wood, Toovey, Goldsack OUT: Jolly, Maxwell, Clarke, Elliott, Mooney
Pick: West Coast
Geelong ($1.01) v Western Bulldogs ($17.00)
Tired of writing about the Bulldogs, they’re tanking.
Cats IN: Varcoe, Christensen, Guthrie, Smedts OUT: Selwood
Dogs IN: Grant, Jones, Howard, Campbell, Talia OUT: Cordy, Roberts
North Melbourne ($1.41) v Fremantle ($3.00)
Fremantle needs to win, their finals hope depend on it. They were excellent last weekend against the Tigers, combing a shutdown defence with a respectable attack. Despite that, North were amazing in toppling the Mapgies on the big Saturday night stage.
Roos IN: Sierakowski, Mullett, C Delaney OUT: none as yet
Freo IN: Roberton, Clarke, Sutcliffe OUT: none as yet
Melbourne ($6.50) v Adelaide ($1.12)
Adelaide, Adelaide, Adelaide
Demons IN: Bate, Gysberts, Nicholson OUT: none as yet
Crowd IN: Porplyzia, Lynch, Riley, Smith, Lyons OUT: Knights, Sloane
(Odds courtesy of SportsBets)